What to look at
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Above zero at spot, dealer hedging resists. Below, it chases. A flip near spot is the pin.
Front versus back. A downward slope is event vol. The dashed line is leftover vol after the event.
Puts richer than calls is the crash bid. Compare the two expiries. Event-dated smiles steepen.
Puts below spot are a cushion. Calls above are a lid. Max pain near spot on 0–2 DTE is pin risk.
| Template | Net | Max profit | Max loss | Profit% | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long put 745P 11 DTE | -$1952 | ~+$2936 | $1952 | 36% | +$6 |
| Long call 745C 11 DTE | -$1860 | ~+$2843 | $1860 | 33% | +$6 |
| OTM long put 742.5P 0 DTE | -$45 | ~+$75 | $45 | 30% | +$1 |
| OTM long call 745C 0 DTE | -$9 | ~+$161 | $9 | 9% | -$2 |
| Put spread 745P 700P 11 DTE | -$1518 | +$2983 | $1518 | 39% | +$13 |
| Call spread 745C 795C 11 DTE | -$1432 | +$3567 | $1432 | 36% | +$42 |
| Long straddle 745C 745P 11 DTE | -$3812 | ~+$983 | $3812 | 43% | +$11 |
| Long strangle 700P 795C 11 DTE | -$862 | ~+$4079 | $862 | 24% | -$44 |
| Cash-secured put 700P 11 DTE | +$435 | +$435 | $69565 | 84% | +$8 |
| Covered call 745C 11 DTE | -$72436 | +$2064 | $72436 | 65% | -$6 |
| Collar 707.5P 780C 11 DTE | -$74208 | +$3791 | $3459 | 50% | +$3 |
| Short straddle 745C 745P 11 DTE | +$3812 | +$3812 | unlimited | 57% | -$11 |
| Short strangle 700P 795C 11 DTE | +$862 | +$862 | unlimited | 76% | +$44 |
| Action | Right | Expiry | Qty | Strike | Mid | Δ |
|---|
Compare EV on the same expiry. Click a row to load the calculator. Switch 5m, 30m, or Daily candles on the left of the P/L profile; hover for price and dollars.
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