What to look at
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Above zero at spot, dealer hedging resists. Below, it chases. A flip near spot is the pin.
Front versus back. A downward slope is event vol. The dashed line is leftover vol after the event.
Puts richer than calls is the crash bid. Compare the two expiries. Event-dated smiles steepen.
Puts below spot are a cushion. Calls above are a lid. Max pain near spot on 0–2 DTE is pin risk.
| Template | Net | Max profit | Max loss | Profit% | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long put 405P 8 DTE | -$2418 | ~+$3635 | $2418 | 37% | +$6 |
| Long call 405C 8 DTE | -$2318 | ~+$3535 | $2318 | 32% | +$6 |
| OTM long put 385P 1 DTE | -$528 | ~+$2898 | $528 | 15% | -$250 |
| OTM long call 427.5C 1 DTE | -$382 | ~+$81 | $382 | 17% | -$64 |
| Put spread 405P 345P 8 DTE | -$1808 | +$4192 | $1808 | 41% | +$218 |
| Call spread 405C 465C 8 DTE | -$1877 | +$4122 | $1877 | 35% | -$132 |
| Long straddle 405C 405P 8 DTE | -$4735 | ~+$1217 | $4735 | 43% | +$12 |
| Long strangle 345P 465C 8 DTE | -$1050 | ~+$5848 | $1050 | 23% | -$74 |
| Cash-secured put 345P 8 DTE | +$610 | +$610 | $33890 | 87% | +$212 |
| Covered call 405C 8 DTE | -$38122 | +$2378 | $38122 | 63% | -$6 |
| Collar 385P 422.5C 8 DTE | -$40414 | +$1836 | $1914 | 47% | -$97 |
| Short straddle 405C 405P 8 DTE | +$4735 | +$4735 | unlimited | 57% | -$12 |
| Short strangle 345P 465C 8 DTE | +$1050 | +$1050 | unlimited | 77% | +$74 |
| Action | Right | Expiry | Qty | Strike | Mid | Δ |
|---|
Compare EV on the same expiry. Click a row to load the calculator. Switch 5m, 30m, or Daily candles on the left of the P/L profile; hover for price and dollars.
snapshot · fresh until