What to look at
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Above zero at spot, dealer hedging resists. Below, it chases. A flip near spot is the pin.
Front versus back. A downward slope is event vol. The dashed line is leftover vol after the event.
Puts richer than calls is the crash bid. Compare the two expiries. Event-dated smiles steepen.
Puts below spot are a cushion. Calls above are a lid. Max pain near spot on 0–2 DTE is pin risk.
| Template | Net | Max profit | Max loss | Profit% | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long put 1755P 11 DTE | -$6050 | ~+$9128 | $6050 | 36% | -$2 |
| Long call 1755C 11 DTE | -$6025 | ~+$9103 | $6025 | 33% | -$2 |
| OTM long put (est.) 1700P 1 DTE | -$676 | ~+$475 | $676 | 18% | +$24 |
| OTM long call (est.) 1800C 1 DTE | -$805 | ~+$437 | $805 | 18% | -$34 |
| Put spread 1755P 1630P 11 DTE | -$4630 | +$7870 | $4630 | 40% | -$173 |
| Call spread 1755C 1830C 11 DTE | -$2845 | +$4655 | $2845 | 41% | +$57 |
| Long straddle 1755C 1755P 11 DTE | -$12075 | ~+$3083 | $12075 | 42% | -$4 |
| Long strangle 1630P 1830C 11 DTE | -$4600 | ~+$10716 | $4600 | 33% | +$113 |
| Cash-secured put 1630P 11 DTE | +$1420 | +$1420 | $161580 | 82% | -$172 |
| Covered call 1755C 11 DTE | -$168999 | +$6501 | $168999 | 65% | +$2 |
| Collar 1665P 1835C 11 DTE | -$174109 | +$9391 | $7609 | 52% | +$393 |
| Short straddle 1755C 1755P 11 DTE | +$12075 | +$12075 | unlimited | 58% | +$4 |
| Short strangle 1630P 1830C 11 DTE | +$4600 | +$4600 | unlimited | 67% | -$113 |
| Action | Right | Expiry | Qty | Strike | Mid | Δ |
|---|
Compare EV on the same expiry. Click a row to load the calculator. Switch 5m, 30m, or Daily candles on the left of the P/L profile; hover for price and dollars.
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