What to look at
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Above zero at spot, dealer hedging resists. Below, it chases. A flip near spot is the pin.
Front versus back. A downward slope is event vol. The dashed line is leftover vol after the event.
Puts richer than calls is the crash bid. Compare the two expiries. Event-dated smiles steepen.
Puts below spot are a cushion. Calls above are a lid. Max pain near spot on 0–2 DTE is pin risk.
| Template | Net | Max profit | Max loss | Profit% | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long put 55P 11 DTE | -$140 | ~+$202 | $140 | 38% | +$1 |
| Long call 55C 11 DTE | -$104 | ~+$166 | $104 | 32% | +$1 |
| OTM long put (est.) 54P 1 DTE | -$27 | ~+$44 | $27 | 26% | +$0 |
| OTM long call (est.) 56C 1 DTE | -$10 | ~+$251 | $10 | 12% | -$0 |
| Put spread 55P 52P 11 DTE | -$106 | +$194 | $106 | 42% | +$5 |
| Call spread 55C 58C 11 DTE | -$84 | +$216 | $84 | 34% | -$2 |
| Long straddle 55C 55P 11 DTE | -$244 | ~+$62 | $244 | 43% | +$3 |
| Long strangle 52P 58C 11 DTE | -$54 | ~+$266 | $54 | 25% | -$0 |
| Cash-secured put 52P 11 DTE | +$34 | +$34 | $5166 | 83% | +$4 |
| Covered call 55C 11 DTE | -$5354 | +$145 | $5354 | 63% | -$1 |
| Collar 52P 57C 11 DTE | -$5454 | +$246 | $254 | 50% | -$6 |
| Short straddle 55C 55P 11 DTE | +$244 | +$244 | unlimited | 57% | -$3 |
| Short strangle 52P 58C 11 DTE | +$54 | +$54 | unlimited | 75% | +$0 |
| Action | Right | Expiry | Qty | Strike | Mid | Δ |
|---|
Compare EV on the same expiry. Click a row to load the calculator. Switch 5m, 30m, or Daily candles on the left of the P/L profile; hover for price and dollars.
snapshot · fresh until