What to look at
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Above zero at spot, dealer hedging resists. Below, it chases. A flip near spot is the pin.
Front versus back. A downward slope is event vol. The dashed line is leftover vol after the event.
Puts richer than calls is the crash bid. Compare the two expiries. Event-dated smiles steepen.
Puts below spot are a cushion. Calls above are a lid. Max pain near spot on 0–2 DTE is pin risk.
| Template | Net | Max profit | Max loss | Profit% | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long put 265P 11 DTE | -$615 | ~+$908 | $615 | 36% | +$1 |
| Long call 265C 11 DTE | -$538 | ~+$831 | $538 | 33% | +$1 |
| OTM long put (est.) 260P 1 DTE | -$95 | ~+$116 | $95 | 21% | -$4 |
| OTM long call (est.) 267.5C 1 DTE | -$94 | ~+$120 | $94 | 21% | +$1 |
| Put spread 265P 250P 11 DTE | -$490 | +$1010 | $490 | 40% | +$12 |
| Call spread 265C 280C 11 DTE | -$431 | +$1068 | $431 | 35% | -$3 |
| Long straddle 265C 265P 11 DTE | -$1152 | ~+$293 | $1152 | 43% | +$3 |
| Long strangle 250P 280C 11 DTE | -$231 | ~+$1260 | $231 | 23% | -$6 |
| Cash-secured put 250P 11 DTE | +$125 | +$125 | $24875 | 86% | +$11 |
| Covered call 265C 11 DTE | -$25836 | +$664 | $25836 | 65% | -$1 |
| Collar 250P 275C 11 DTE | -$26304 | +$1196 | $1304 | 52% | -$16 |
| Short straddle 265C 265P 11 DTE | +$1152 | +$1152 | unlimited | 57% | -$3 |
| Short strangle 250P 280C 11 DTE | +$231 | +$231 | unlimited | 77% | +$6 |
| Action | Right | Expiry | Qty | Strike | Mid | Δ |
|---|
Compare EV on the same expiry. Click a row to load the calculator. Switch 5m, 30m, or Daily candles on the left of the P/L profile; hover for price and dollars.
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