What to look at
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Above zero at spot, dealer hedging resists. Below, it chases. A flip near spot is the pin.
Front versus back. A downward slope is event vol. The dashed line is leftover vol after the event.
Puts richer than calls is the crash bid. Compare the two expiries. Event-dated smiles steepen.
Puts below spot are a cushion. Calls above are a lid. Max pain near spot on 0–2 DTE is pin risk.
| Template | Net | Max profit | Max loss | Profit% | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long put 335P 11 DTE | -$650 | ~+$981 | $650 | 35% | -$2 |
| Long call 335C 11 DTE | -$670 | ~+$1002 | $670 | 34% | -$2 |
| OTM long put (est.) 330P 1 DTE | -$99 | ~+$127 | $99 | 21% | +$1 |
| OTM long call (est.) 340C 1 DTE | -$68 | ~+$26 | $68 | 17% | +$5 |
| Put spread 335P 320P 11 DTE | -$491 | +$1009 | $491 | 39% | +$7 |
| Call spread 335C 350C 11 DTE | -$525 | +$975 | $525 | 37% | -$34 |
| Long straddle 335C 335P 11 DTE | -$1320 | ~+$337 | $1320 | 42% | -$5 |
| Long strangle 320P 350C 11 DTE | -$304 | ~+$1384 | $304 | 27% | +$22 |
| Cash-secured put 320P 11 DTE | +$159 | +$159 | $31841 | 85% | +$9 |
| Covered call 335C 11 DTE | -$32760 | +$740 | $32760 | 67% | +$2 |
| Collar 317.5P 350C 11 DTE | -$33404 | +$1596 | $1654 | 52% | -$41 |
| Short straddle 335C 335P 11 DTE | +$1320 | +$1320 | unlimited | 58% | +$5 |
| Short strangle 320P 350C 11 DTE | +$304 | +$304 | unlimited | 73% | -$22 |
| Action | Right | Expiry | Qty | Strike | Mid | Δ |
|---|
Compare EV on the same expiry. Click a row to load the calculator. Switch 5m, 30m, or Daily candles on the left of the P/L profile; hover for price and dollars.
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