What to look at
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Front ATM IV minus next. A gap of 5 or more vol points is inverted. Event premium sits in the front expiry.
Above zero at spot, dealer hedging resists. Below, it chases. A flip near spot is the pin.
Front versus back. A downward slope is event vol. The dashed line is leftover vol after the event.
Puts richer than calls is the crash bid. Compare the two expiries. Event-dated smiles steepen.
Puts below spot are a cushion. Calls above are a lid. Max pain near spot on 0–2 DTE is pin risk.
| Template | Net | Max profit | Max loss | Profit% | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long put 155P 8 DTE | -$675 | ~+$1020 | $675 | 36% | -$0 |
| Long call 155C 8 DTE | -$678 | ~+$1023 | $678 | 33% | -$0 |
| OTM long put 148P 1 DTE | -$108 | ~+$19 | $108 | 16% | -$22 |
| OTM long call 162.5C 1 DTE | -$66 | ~+$7 | $66 | 16% | +$21 |
| Put spread 155P 135P 8 DTE | -$534 | +$1466 | $534 | 39% | +$63 |
| Call spread 155C 172.5C 8 DTE | -$560 | +$1190 | $560 | 35% | -$39 |
| Long straddle 155C 155P 8 DTE | -$1352 | ~+$345 | $1352 | 42% | -$0 |
| Long strangle 135P 172.5C 8 DTE | -$258 | ~+$1771 | $258 | 20% | -$24 |
| Cash-secured put 135P 8 DTE | +$141 | +$141 | $13359 | 90% | +$63 |
| Covered call 155C 8 DTE | -$14822 | +$678 | $14822 | 64% | +$0 |
| Collar 147P 162.5C 8 DTE | -$15524 | +$726 | $824 | 47% | -$73 |
| Short straddle 155C 155P 8 DTE | +$1352 | +$1352 | unlimited | 58% | +$0 |
| Short strangle 135P 172.5C 8 DTE | +$258 | +$258 | unlimited | 80% | +$24 |
| Action | Right | Expiry | Qty | Strike | Mid | Δ |
|---|
Compare EV on the same expiry. Click a row to load the calculator. Switch 5m, 30m, or Daily candles on the left of the P/L profile; hover for price and dollars.
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